Gmail Agenda Documents Reader Web plus »
Groupes visités récemment | Aide | Connexion
Accueil Google Groupes
Message de la discussion For and against space exploration
Le groupe auquel vous envoyez des messages est un groupe Usenet. Les messages envoyés à ce groupe peuvent être consultés par tous les internautes.
Votre réponse n'a pas été envoyée.
Votre message a été publié.
 
De :
À:
Cc :
Suivi :
Ajouter un champ Cc | Ajouter le suivi | Modifier l'objet
Objet :
Validation :
À des fins de vérification, veuillez saisir les caractères affichés dans l’image ci-dessous ou les chiffres que vous entendez (si vous avez cliqué sur l’icône à l’intention des déficients visuels). Écoutez et entrez les chiffres que vous entendez
 
Paul Schlyter  
Afficher le profil   Traduire en Traduit (Afficher l'original)
 Autres options 9 oct 1998, 07:00
Groupes de discussion : rec.arts.sf.misc, rec.arts.sf.science, sci.space.history, sci.space.news.sci.space.tech, sci.space.shuttle
De : pau...@merope.saaf.se (Paul Schlyter)
Date : 1998/10/09
Objet : Re: For and against space exploration
In article <john.bingham-ya02408000R0810981316300...@nntp-server.bcc.ac.uk>,

John Bingham <john.bing...@ucl.ac.uk> wrote:
> In article <6vgqo8$4s...@merope.saaf.se>, pau...@merope.saaf.se (Paul
> Schlyter) wrote:

>> In article <john.bingham-ya02408000R0710981225170...@nntp-server.bcc.ac.uk>,
>> John Bingham <john.bing...@ucl.ac.uk> wrote:
>>> <snipped the reply ID's>

>>>>> Yes but as above it's all we know at the minute and so we should
>>>>> propagate it.

>>>> Why "should" we do it?  We might *want* to do it, but it's no duty.

>>> Yes it comes down to ethics which you mention and seem to support below.

>> In what way does ethics make spaceflight to other stars mandatory?

> Well if "your" ethics is to preserve life then getting off an ultimately
> doomed planet (no matter what time frame or event will lead to this
> situation) is mandatory.

The amount of life saved this way is an insignificant fraction of all life
on Earth....

>>>>>>> and so we should ensure it's survival (no matter what we evolve into).

>>>>>> ...ehm... before planning what to do in 5 billion years, don't you think
>>>>>> it would be prudent to first spend a few million years trying to find
>>>>>> out whether life really is unique to Earth or not?

>>>>>>> Also maybe Earth will get whacked by an asteroid sometime in the
>>>>>>> "near" future.   I honestly dont see your argument for not going.

>>>>>> That's because I never argued for not going.  I merely pointed out
>>>>>> that whatever life forms may be inhabitating the Earth in 5 billion
>>>>>> years, it will most likely not be the human species...

>>>>> Obviously we dont know and I wouldnt like to guess as to probabilities.
>>>>> After all we as a species have to a large extent taken control of our
>>>>> evolution.

>>>> Dream on.....

>>>> We have done that with our pets, our cattle, and our crops.  But to
>>>> use these methods on humans is considered highly unethical....

>>> Huh why am I dreaming? you've just said that we as a species have taken
>>> control of evolution for numerous other species.

>> Partially -- our dogs, horses, cows, etc wouldn't be here if we
>> hadn't breeded them this way.  Note that humans here often decide
>> which individuals are allowed to mate, and they base this decision on
>> what kind of offspring they want.

> Partially or not its still there and breeding of domesticated animals is a
> "science" nowadays anyway. Whether it's by breeding, curing the previously
> terminally ill or gene therapy it's still the humnan race taking a major
> role in evolution, these species wouldnt exist as they are now if we werent
> here.

True, however pets, cattle and crops are not human.  Thus we haven't
so far taken control of our own evolution, as you claimed above, but
only over the evolution of our pets, cattle, and crop.

>> In Nazi Germany, Hitler had similar plans for humans....

> Ho-hum here we go.......

Is this fact uncomfortable to you, or what?

>>> Here's where you mentioned ethics and I apply that to me point above.
>>> No it's not considered unethical,

>> Not by nazi's, but everyone else will considered controlled breeding
>> for humans unethical.  Imagine if you weren't allowed to choose the one you
>> loved as your wife, but instead were forced to choose someone who had
>> the appropriate genes.  Do you still claim this is ethical?

> Did I mention the nazi's??

Did I claim you mentioned them?

> It really is a bit of a cliche to bring nazi's into it. I wasnt going on
> about controlling breeding on an individual basis

You talkend about "control of evolution" -- so far we've done that
on a large scale only through controlled breeding, but not on humans.
The nazi's planned controlled breeding on humans too, and since you
claimed "control of evolution" on humans was ethical, it was quite
appropriate to point to a group of people - the nazi's - who indeed
agreed with you on that point.

> (are you deliberately mis-intrepreting me?) but as a species since we are
> keeping people alive that would have previously died before being able to
> have children we ARE having an effect on evolution, a logical conclusion
> yes?

I never claimed we have no effect on our own evolution.  I merely argued
against your claim that we control it.  We don't...

> You really have got the wrong end of the stick I am in no way advocating
> controlling the choice of partner etc and in for the record I'm socialist

Good -- then please stop claiming we are controlling our own evolution.

> (what are you?)

I completely agree with you here.

> But as we learn more about the human genome and discover more 'disease
> genes' we are going to have more of an influence over evolution. Downs
> Syndrome is regularly screened for and terminations occur. Are you saying
> this isnt having an effect on evolution?

I don't know what the net effect of that will be.  We have the
technology to make a decision here: either such an individual is
terminated before birth, or else it's born and then our technology
will help it survive longer.  Both happens, and neither you nor I
know which one is dominating.

However the important question here is: will an individual having Dows
Syndrome ever get kids of their own?  If not, their impact on our
evolution will be negligible, no matter whether they're terminated or
whether they'll receive help to survive.

> (I've read that some have gone onto have children themselves)

How many times have this happened?  And will those children be able
to have children?  If not, this effect on the evolution will be
transient and short-lived.

> Again before you come out with it I'm not saying they havent got
> the right to have children (IMO they have) but it is influencing
> evolution.

Of course it influences it, but in ways we have little control
over, and to an extent that's unknown to us.  Therefore this is
in no way a "controlled" evolution.

>>> somatic cell line gene therapy has been passed by medical ethics
>>> groups and is in trial for various ailments (CF and MS). Germ cell
>>> line therapy IS considered unethical at the moment, principally
>>> because we dont know the long term consequences. Also any medical
>>> treatment which allows people to live and propagate is having an
>>> affect on evolution

>> "DNA surgery" is mostly science fiction so far.  It's not through
>> this method humans has partially taken control over the evolution of
>> cattle, crops, etc, but by controlled breeding.

> Yeah right!!
> How can a technique be "mostly science fiction"?

By existing mostly in the fantasies and hopes of humans.

> it exists and is being used the technique works for some genes but
> obviously we need more knowledge.

OK, I need to rephrase myself:

"DNA surgery" on humans is mostly science fiction so far.

Agreed?

> You really are picking nits when you bring up that humans have controlled
> evolution so far by breeding rather than other methods. So what? the end
> result is still an influence over evolution.

Sure, but it's a far cry from control over human evolution.

> This "partially taken control" that you mention will only increase as
> we find more ways to influence things. I guess eradicating smallpox
> isnt affecting anyhitng either!

Of course it is!  But how well do we know these effects?

> As to 100+ science fiction care to name some that I should read? how about
> Jules Verne and the trips to the moon? how about Metropolis with it's
> robots and automation? a bit nearer to home how about Arthur C. Clarke and
> his satelites?

Now you're deliberately choosing a few sci-fi novels where the
authors happened to be approximately right.  You could also read e.g.:

Cyrano de Bergerac: "A Journey to the Moon", where the main figure goes
to the Moon by collecting bottles of dew, tying them to his body, then
going out in the field at dawn -- when the dew rises, he goes along...

H.G. Wells: "The First Trip to the Moon", where a crazy inventor
invents a substance named "cavorite", which can shield off gravity.
Then he builds a ball with a lot of windows, all having shields. He
closes all shields, paints it all with cavorite on the outside,
then steps in, closes the shields towards the Earth and opens them
to the Moon, and the Moon pulls him up...

Olaf Stapledon: "Last Men and First Men", which as a story actually
goes five billion years into the future, when the Sun is becoming
unstable and mankind's descendants are forced to leave Earth.
Anyway, before that a lot of other things happens: during the 70'ies
individuals had their own "electrical airplane" as commonly as people
have cars today.  And at the turn of the century, the U.S. dominates
the world (which happens to be right) after the USSR and China had
killed each other off in a nuclear war (which didn't happen).

> You can read almost anything into literature if you try hard enough
> (Nostradamous anyone?) and so your argument means absolutely nothing on
> this front. You really seem to be trying to make me out as some clueless
> dreamer arent you.

I merely wanted to point out that our expectations of the future frequently
becomes quite different from what actually happens in the future...

A a schoolkid, in 1967 (that's 2 years before Apollo 11 landed on the
moon), I and a friend guessed when man would first land on Mars.  We
agreed that we believed this would happen around 1984 -- that's 14
years ago...

>>> Yes it is to a degree, see my above point. For good or bad people are
>>> living with previously lethal diseases and having children. I call that
>>> science having an affect on evolution and that level of control

>> To "have an effect" is quite different from "having control".

>> If you shoot someone, that will certainly have an effect on the inner
>> parts of that person's body.  Does that mean you have "control" of
>> the inside of the body of someone you shoot?  Certainly NOT -- that
>> requires skilled surgery rather than semi-random shooting.

>> The "effect" you mention here is comparable rather to random
>> shooting than to skilled surgery: yes, there will be an effect, but
>> we don't know what the effect will be -- and we certainly have no
>> way to decide what the effect will be!!!  Therefore it's a far cry
>> from being controlled.

> Sigh, the control is on an immediate level i.e. we can keep people alive or
> not I admit to not knowing the effect of this control at some far flung
> distant point. We are arguing semantics here and imho this is pointless.

Yes, we are arguing semantics.  To me "control" implies at least some
level of predictability.  Suppose you're driving a car which starts
to malfunction severely.  If you turned the steering wheel to the
left, the car could go right, it could go backwards, or it could stop
-- you didn't know.  Braking it could make it turn left, to
accelerate, or perhaps even decelerate -- you didn't know.  What you
did to the car would surely have some effect on it -- but do you
think you'd be able to control such a car?  Wouldn't it then be "out
of control"?

>> None of these events will wipe out *all* earthly life though.  They've
>> already happened numerous times to the Earth, and life is still
>> flourishing here...

> Yes I know that and I suppose the cockroaches for one are going to have one
> hell of a party but since we are a social/group based species

So are the cockroaches, the ants, the bees, ....

> and have a relatively developed infrasctructure/culture anything that
> disrupts the earth to such an extent that this culture is destroyed
> is in a fashion destroying the species (on one level) I dont consider
> it good to let the human race degenerate to the cave-man days again,
> do you?

This would of course be a catastrophy for the human species - no
argument about that!  But to most other species (our pets and cattle
probably being the only exception) this could be a Good Thing, since
it would mean that their worst enemy suddenly got much less dangerous
to them.  Therefore an impacting asteroid, which shattered the human
civilization, could in the end be a Good Thing for many other
species, and could even allow a future new species to create an
advanced civilization.  Much like that cretaceous asteroid which
probably hit the Earth some 65 million years ago, killing the
dinosaurs, turned out to be a Good Thing for us...

Please try to distinguish what's "good" for the human species from
what's "good" for earthly life in general.

>> But you just said you wanted to go *now* !!!  Why not first find out where
>> to go, or if there's anyway to go at all?

> Yes and it had a smiley after the comment. If we need to find other places
> imo at the very least we need some bloody big telescopes on the dark side
> of the moon and isnt the moon in space?

If so, the Earth too is in space.....

>>> Also the technology/experience of this exploration would POSSIBLY allow
>>> us to live in somekind of spacestation if we didnt find a suitable planet
>>> for direct habitation.

> Anyway since I'm doing all the defending on my side of the argument I'm
> going to ask you whether you support space exploration or not and your
> reasons/evidence.

To some reasonable extent I of course support it.  But I find it
pointless to now plan to go to other stars in 4-5 or so billion years
--- that's a task for generations in the far future.  And they will
not care the slightest bit about whatever "decision" we make about
that today -- much like we don't care at all in today's space
exploration about what sone age men might have wanted to do to try to
"reach the stars"...

--
----------------------------------------------------------------
Paul Schlyter,  Swedish Amateur Astronomer's Society (SAAF)
Grev Turegatan 40,  S-114 38 Stockholm,  SWEDEN
e-mail:  pau...@saaf.se    paul.schly...@ausys.se   p...@inorbit.com
WWW:     New URL at http://193.12.249.96/pausch    --  updated daily!


    Transférer  
Vous devez vous connecter pour pouvoir envoyer des messages.
Pour envoyer un message, vous devez dans un premier temps rejoindre ce groupe.
Veuillez mettre à jour votre pseudonyme dans la page Paramètres d'abonnement avant de publier des messages.
Vous ne disposez pas de l'autorisation nécessaire pour publier un message.

Créer un groupe - Google Groupes - Accueil Google - Conditions d'utilisation - Règles de confidentialité
©2010 Google